Friday, 3 October 2025

The Future of Warfare in the Indo-Pacific

M A Hossain,

China’s unveiling of the CJ-1000 hypersonic cruise missile was more than a show of strength. It was a warning, a signal, a declaration. At the 80th anniversary parade of victory in World War II, Beijing demonstrated not just military power, but a shift in the strategic balance of Asia. The CJ-1000, with its speed and precision, is not another weapon in the arsenal. It is a game-changer.

The CJ-1000, also called Long Sword-1000, is a scramjet-powered missile. It flies at speeds between Mach 5 and Mach 10, within the atmosphere. Unlike ballistic missiles, it does not travel in predictable arcs. It can change course, dive low, and evade defences. Radar struggles to track it. Interceptors find it nearly impossible to stop.

Reports suggest its range could reach 6,000 kilometers. That puts U.S. bases in Japan, South Korea, and even Guam at risk. Aircraft carriers, once floating symbols of dominance, could suddenly become vulnerable. Geography, once a shield, no longer guarantees safety. The CJ-1000 erases distance.

China has long focused on anti-access/area denial (A2/AD). The goal is to keep adversaries—especially the United States—away from its coasts and disputed waters. The CJ-1000 strengthens this strategy. U.S. carrier groups near Taiwan or the South China Sea would now face unprecedented danger.

The missile also exposes flaws in existing missile defences. Systems like THAAD and Aegis were designed for slower or predictable threats. Hypersonic speed and maneuverability cut through those shields. For decades, Washington invested billions in missile defence. The CJ-1000 makes much of that investment look outdated.

In the Taiwan Strait, the missile alters calculations. U.S. promises to defend Taipei carry more risk. China gains leverage. In South Asia, India’s hypersonic work with Russia fuels Pakistan’s insecurities. Islamabad, with limited conventional strength, may lean even more on nuclear options. The Korean Peninsula is no less affected. North Korea could seek its own hypersonic shield, while South Korea clings tighter to U.S. protection. Everywhere, mistrust deepens.

Efforts to counter hypersonics have begun. The U.S. experiments with interceptors like Glide Breaker. Russia boasts of its S-500 system. Satellites may one day track the heat trails of hypersonic flights. Lasers and electronic warfare are in development. Yet today, no reliable defence exists. The attacker holds the advantage.

Technology alone cannot solve this. Diplomacy matters. Arms control talks, transparency measures, and regional dialogues could slow the race. Without them, Asia risks living under permanent instability, where war may begin before words can be exchanged.

History has seen weapons that reshaped strategy. The British Dreadnought battleship once made all other navies obsolete. Nuclear arms forced new doctrines of deterrence. Now the CJ-1000 signals another turning point. It tells the world that Asia has entered the hypersonic era. An era where weapons outpace diplomacy. An era where time itself becomes the most valuable currency in war and peace.

   



M A Hossain, political and defense analyst based in Bangladesh. He can be reached at: writetomahossain@gmail.com


   

This article published at :

1. The Korea Times, S. Korea : 27 Sep, 25

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