Tuesday, 1 May 2018

Korea: Fall of Pyongyang and beyond imminent?

M A Hossain

In diplomacy, there is a terminology - honey coated poison. Smart Westerners have mastered the art of applying this tactic in a precise manner. Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi had hit the last nail in his coffin by destroying the stock of chemical weapon including his nuclear research facilities. He did not know, this was actually un-arming [un-protectinh?] him from any possible foreign attack. Each of us know how the decade-long Gaddafi episode ended. His daughter Ayesha Gaddafi is still on run. Possibly after many years from now, we will come to know - allegations brought against Gaddafi and his family members [of ammesing wealth] were baseless. But no one can say with certainty, how long our sister Ayesha will suffer.

In my previous article, I have advocated the formula of reunification of two Koreas (in the Korean Peninsula]. But, instead of accepting the reunification suggestions of mine as well the theory of -reunification of North Korea's founding father and 'eternal' President Kim Il Sung, [grandfather of Kim Jong Un] things are moving towards a wrong direction With surprise,  I am seeing the implementation of the unification formula promoted by South Korea and the West. Pyongyang already has adjusted  its standard  time with Seoul by adopting South Korean standard time. This must have made South Korean President Moon Jae In extremely delighted. Because, it proves ultimately Kim Jong Un will put the South Korean President into the driving seat of the unified Korea; willingly or unwillingly.

Most importantly, South Koreans as well the West are seriously against Stalinist rule and socialism [as well as communism]. They definitely are not going to accept any existence of socialist ideology based Workers Party in Pyongyang and most definitely are going to eliminate such political theories and theologians.

National Security Adviser to the US President Donald Trump - John Bolton, who is known as a die hard anti communist and anti socialist [even anti Islamist] has already signalled following Libya model into Korean affairs. Meaning, by convincing Kim Jong Un in denuclearisation; they are going to make him unarmed [similarly as Gaddafi], so that they can toppled him down if and when they desire. To Kim Jong Un, there though are multiple options [including the formation of a Koryo Union] he is being pushed towards the blueprint of Western policy makers. South Korea and the West believe, peace in Korean Peninsula can be ensured only by hanging Kim Jong Un and his men in public thus annexing this part of Korean Peninsula into an integral part of South Korea - similarly as the unification formula of Germany.

Even if Kim Jong Un and Moon Jae In contest in a presidential election [to lead the unified Korea], poverty stricken [and aggrieved] North Koreans are not going to elect Mr. Kim. In fact there is no future for socialism in the Western styled unified Korea, because socialism is seen as the enemy of economic progress [moreover, socialism and communism are failing everywhere in the world].

Even after the unification, South Korean investors and entrepreneurs may not take the risk of investing in North Korea under the rule of a 'whimsical' and 'unpredictable' Kim Jong Un. Especially their fear would get stronger ground as just two years back Kim Jong Un abruptly had annexed all the properties in the South Korean Economic Zone [KAESONG] in North Korea, and had driven out the workers and the representatives of the investors almost overnight.

We need to remember one point, if real peace is established in Korean Peninsula, Washington has to withdraw its troops from South Korea and Japan. Moreover they [as well as the European nations] will lose the opportunity of weapon business worth billions of dollars. They certainly are not going to do that. Instead Washington will work with the plan of getting North Korea annexed by South Korea by overthrowing an unarmed Kim Jong Un. Once this plan turns accomplished, the same Westerners will give weapons to the North Korea's core socialist thus create a socialist insurgency. This socialist insurgency [mixed with Islamist militancy, which may suddenly get fuel once Washington and it's Western allies handover arms to the Muslim minority groups inside China] will expand the opportunity of selling weapons to South Korea, Japan and even China. The fall of Pyongyang may turn Washington over ambitious even in sneaking nose into China's internal affairs with the active role of India, in beginning an anti communism insurgency in China.

For the sake of a victory in the 2019-Presidential Election, US President Donald Trump needs lots of success feathers in his colorful cap. Toppling down Kim Jong Un would be the most precious and effective feather to Mr. Donald Trump. He would in that case, promise his voters of 'another bigger surprise ' in Asia [meaning end of communist rule in China] as well as a potential defeat of the Iranian rulers [thus bringing Iran under the rule of a pro-Washington democracy].

There is practically very little choice for the North Korean leader. He may either accept the unification formula [of South Korea] and get some relieve from the punitive sanctions, or continue to struggle until his own people revolts against socialism and dictatorial rule one day.

This actually is the final fate of any dictator or autocrat in the world.

But, still, Kim Jong Un also needs to remember,  it is not only him who is looking for peace in the peninsula as a priority; but it also is more important and crucial for South Korea [even Japan]. Because, if this peace process breaks, Pyongyang may simply pull the trigger of their nuclear weapons. - meaning, destruction of many countries.This particular fear will actually compel Seoul in reaching into a solution even by giving some political and diplomatic advantage to Kim jong Un.

One last word here for the policymakers in Pyongyang! Hope they notice, the sudden favorable media coverage for Kim Jong Un are actually sponsored by South Korea and the West. Pyongyang doesn't have it's own existence in the global media through which their reunification formula would be promoted. The world media now in fact are projecting Donald Trump and Moon Jae In as victors and Kim Jong Un as a defeated man seeking respectable retreat.

This article also published at:
1.Modern Ghana, Ghana :01march 2018
2.Globoble.com
3.Sunnyfmgh,Ghana
4.pressbox.co.uk

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